EA expert advisor for MT4 and MT5
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fxDreema Expert Advisor Builder
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This EA is ECN-safe. You can freely use this expert advisor with ECN (market execution) brokers as it either does not apply any stop-loss and take-profit levels in its trading orders or sends only pending orders.
I would never buy an EA based upon 4 years of backtesting alone. There must be live data to support the backtests and reasoning behind why it doesn't work in the past. (Be it martingale, trend vs range, etc etc).
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2 Advanced Guide To MetaTrader 4 - Automated Trading
3 Advanced Guide To MetaTrader 4 - Expert Advisors
4 Advanced Guide To MetaTrader 4 - Custom Indicators
5 Advanced Guide To MetaTrader 4 - Scripts
6 Advanced Guide To MetaTrader 4 - Strategy Testing And Optimization
Equity curve
A graphical representation of the change in value of a trading account over a time period. An equity curve with a consistently positive slope would generally indicate that the trading strategies of the account are profitable, while a negative slope would indicate that the account is in the red.
Equity Curve Definition | Investopedia
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krisz
Jul 31, 2013, 02:46 PM
Hi All,I'm curious about your opinions.
Which EA would you prefer (buy it and use it), that survives 13 years backtest, or which would not survive 13 years, but works on todays market (i.e. last 4 years).
There are some EAs which look good in 13 years BT, but doesn't work in real life.
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The answer is simple. I would take the EA with 13 years of good back test. (Thinking backtest included up to today).
Buy I am expert/professional in Back test... so the BT would need to qualify to what I know.
1. The strategy should be mathematical and not based in any indicators. Indicators based logics EAs are "ALL" Curve fitted to the past data. Therefore the logic will not work in the future, as the prices will never be the same.
2. The BT should done with tick data, preferably in non-mt4 tester/platform. Also no gaps in the data, nor spikes taken out of it, etc. . (well practiced by EA sellers)
3. The strategy should use no less then 25 pips of TP or SL, or work by global closings.
4. One setting for all years tested.
5. Test should include at least 2 different "start" dates per year.. for example .. runs once from Jan to dec... and another from july to july, etc.
6. All time Max DD never higher then twice the average of monthly profit. For example, if the EA pulls average of 5% per month average in the 13 years .. max DD should never be more then 10% in the 13 years.
7. Backtest done with fixed lot for all 13 years ( no money management increases)
8. 1% per month deducted from monthly average results. Example.. if average is 5% per month, I deduct
1% for slippage, higher spreads etc. Is never that much but being conservative.
For me .. all the above means the EA has survived.
With a few idea of the strategy logic itself and tested under above conditions... no problem trusting the code.
( after reviewing the code itself for standard safety features to auto trading.. like self starting if mt4 goes down, internet/vps disconnections, etc, etc.)
J.
visual backtest of 1-2 years would tell you 1000 times more about the strategy/tradng style than any 13 years test can ever do..... just run the toughest period the ea faced and sit thru the visual test... it helps see losses being made and recoveries happen... our brain also associates price action and market conditions to losses and dd periods... we will start seeing price curve to understand and decide when to stop or start a ea... rather than make the desicion based on ea's equity curve.... just my 2 cents again
mikepipmaker
A backtest is a tool used by EA developers to check their trading logic operates correctly. It cannot tell you anything about the future performance of an EA.
euclid
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